Collinson FX Market Commentary: April 23, 2013 - Bulls try hard

Farr 1020 - 2013 Auckland Cup, Day 3

Collinson FX market Commentary: April 23, 2013

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Equity markets were flat again to open the new week with the bulls attempting to get the car back on the road. Liquidity still flows thick and fast from the Fed, BoJ and ECB fueling the bubble in equities, although signs of the commodity bubble deflation is upon us and is sending nervous jitters through equities investors.

The endless cash printed by Central Banks has funded a massive move to equities and made the Investor class rich. Main Street has not had the spare cash to invest as living costs have been spiraling despite the lack of ‘measured inflation’. The EU has been imposing austerity as the single currency prevents market mechanisms righting the ship but this has been largely unsuccessful as growth has contracted and debt has continued to overwhelm many. Debt/GDP has now climbed to 90.6% from 87.3% for the whole Eurozone.

This should strike a warning bell if not flat out panic. The Central Bank corruption of currencies has funded the debt binge and now they cannot return to real interest rates as the service of debt would be impossible! In the US, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index contracted further than expected and Existing Home Sales fell 0.6%, reaffirming the weakness in economic data. The fear will spread as May approaches and reality hits home.

Commodity currencies continue to soften with the AUD 1.0265 and the KIWI 0.8400 as risk appetite continues to decline. It would pay to be very vigilant and square to short over the next week or so.

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