Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 6, 2012 - No news = stablility

Pic of the Day Highland Fling - Loro Piana Superyacht Regatta 2012

Collinson FX market Commentary: June 6, 2012

Markets stabilised with little in the way of economic news or dramatic events from Europe as the G20 set to meet. Pre-G20 talks have discussed the European crises and the possible solutions including Eurobonds and Fiscal Union. Most EU leaders promote the Eurobond with shared responsibility for the overwhelming Sovereign debt.

Germany is unlikely to accept this without dramatic changes and fiscal union. The question is what price the Germans will demand? The EUR held at 1.2450 and the GBP 1.5370 with markets preparing for some form of QE and further dilution of the USD.

The AUD remained steady trading 0.9730 after the RBA cuts rates by 25 points and warned of 'risks of destabilising global growth environment' impacting China and the EU crises.

The Bank of Canada echoed this sentiment leaving interests rates at the record low of 1%.

The KIWI consolidated around 0.7550 building support. Equity markets in the US reflected the stabilisation of markets and commodities also eked out small gains. Markets await the Fed's reaction and the G20.


Collinson FX market Commentary: June 5, 2012

The flood of negative economic news continued with weak data from China, Europe and the U.S..The previous week broke technical levels and erased 2012 gains in equity markets. Currencies surprisingly resisted the moves with the EUR bouncing back to 1.2480 and the GBP 1.5375. This may be a dead cat bounce as technicals and fundamentals point the same way.

In China Non Manufacturing PMI fell from 56.1 to 55.2. In Europe Investment Confidence remained critically weak and PPI was flat. The U.S. Followed with Factory Orders falling 0.6% and the New York ISM contracting below 50.

Australian equity markets were hammered from the fallout from the U.S. Employment data over the weekend. Job advertisements fell and Company profits slipped a further 4%.

The AUD improved to 0.9725 following a consolidating USD. The KIWI held resistance levels and built back to 0.7570 but further upheavals in Europe are likely to test the all important 0.7500.

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